13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
---|---|---|---|---|
127371 | 소간지 코디는 조현민라인인 걸로... 8 | 오늘 유령 | 2012/07/05 | 3,386 |
127370 | [관람후기]연가시 - 스포없음 5 | 별2개 | 2012/07/05 | 1,817 |
127369 | 경기도, 충청도 비 많이 오나요? 5 | 지금 | 2012/07/05 | 1,361 |
127368 | 서울에 충무김밥 맛있는 집 수배합니닷! 8 | 침질질 | 2012/07/05 | 3,091 |
127367 | 좋은 아내의 조건은 무엇일까요 8 | 미혼녀 | 2012/07/05 | 3,572 |
127366 | 애들 시력이 가장 많이 떨어지는때가 언젠가요? 4 | 아이 시력 | 2012/07/05 | 10,310 |
127365 | 여름용 운동화 시원한가요?? 6 | ... | 2012/07/05 | 1,245 |
127364 | 손가락 상처 질문있어요ㅠㅠ 급해요 1 | ㅠㅠ | 2012/07/05 | 1,017 |
127363 | 내가 찐 감자.. 웰케 맛있는지 ㅜㅜ 7 | ㅇㅇ | 2012/07/05 | 2,458 |
127362 | 맥주마시는 분 없나요~! 87 | 맥주 | 2012/07/05 | 8,327 |
127361 | 잘 토하는 아기 병원 가봐야할까요 4 | 아기 | 2012/07/05 | 1,410 |
127360 | 유령..넷중에 누구같아요? 25 | 스몰리바인 | 2012/07/05 | 6,502 |
127359 | 지금 각시탈 틀어놓고 있는데 1 | ... | 2012/07/05 | 1,462 |
127358 | 짝짝이 눈 수술하고싶어요~ 2 | 미니성형? | 2012/07/05 | 1,953 |
127357 | 알찬 살림꾼 정수기에 도전^^ | 바다소리모아.. | 2012/07/05 | 976 |
127356 | 어릴적 만화주제간데요, 제목 아시는분~~ 24 | 컴앞대기 | 2012/07/05 | 2,832 |
127355 | 쏠비치랑 설악델피노랑 어느것이 나을까요? | 네스퀵 | 2012/07/05 | 1,923 |
127354 | 감자전,뭘로 갈아 만드세요?오늘 제가 찾은 신세계.. 15 | 감자야 뎀벼.. | 2012/07/05 | 6,198 |
127353 | 제네랄냉장고가 전기를 많이 먹어서 바꾸려는데. 4 | 솔체 | 2012/07/05 | 2,231 |
127352 | 자두 추천해주세요. | ^^ | 2012/07/05 | 855 |
127351 | 강남 중식당 추천해주세요. (컴앞대기) 3 | 식당 | 2012/07/05 | 2,142 |
127350 | 전 다시 태어나면 저보다 키큰 남자랑 결혼할꺼에요. 12 | 손님 | 2012/07/05 | 6,554 |
127349 | 친환경 부침가루라 맛없는걸까요 ㅜㅡㅜ 15 | 놀라운주부8.. | 2012/07/05 | 2,320 |
127348 | 좋은남편감이 꼭 가져야 할 조건 26 | 고독 | 2012/07/05 | 8,110 |
127347 | 동물식구 9 | ㅇㅇ | 2012/07/05 | 1,593 |