13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
| 번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190989 | 부산 서면에 있는 친구가 연락왔어요~ 17 | 문재인&안철.. | 2012/12/07 | 5,433 |
| 190988 | 너무 위험해서 연설 안하고 남포동으로 가나보네요 4 | 문안 | 2012/12/07 | 1,978 |
| 190987 | 초등아이들 겨울 운동화 어떤걸로 사시나요? | 인조가죽? | 2012/12/07 | 903 |
| 190986 | 안철수씨에게 요구했던 만큼 이제 우리가 행동할 때... 5 | 바따 | 2012/12/07 | 1,075 |
| 190985 | 동국대 식품생명공학과랑 숙대 화학과 중 3 | 학교 어디로.. | 2012/12/07 | 1,892 |
| 190984 | 임산부용 독감백신 따로 있는게 아니죠? 2 | dd | 2012/12/07 | 879 |
| 190983 | 방사능굴 괴담인가요? 진짜인가요? 5 | 방사능굴 | 2012/12/07 | 2,311 |
| 190982 | 엠비의추억 2 | 영화 | 2012/12/07 | 604 |
| 190981 | 부산 문안 만났어요 24 | 행복한 오늘.. | 2012/12/07 | 4,649 |
| 190980 | 이거 이름이 밀대 아닌가요? 2 | ... | 2012/12/07 | 610 |
| 190979 | 묵주기도 6 | 천주교신자님.. | 2012/12/07 | 2,026 |
| 190978 | 의왕시 청계동에 지금 눈 많이오나요? 2 | ... | 2012/12/07 | 615 |
| 190977 | 혹시 예전에 입시 상담해주시던 3 | 고삼맘 | 2012/12/07 | 914 |
| 190976 | 띠용 완전 맛있는 쿠키를 지금먹었는데 22 | 싱글이 | 2012/12/07 | 4,221 |
| 190975 | 갑상선이상으로 조직검사 어떻게하는건가요 7 | 지현맘 | 2012/12/07 | 1,484 |
| 190974 | 왜 알바가 하나도 없죠? 13 | 어? | 2012/12/07 | 1,712 |
| 190973 | 김장하는데 김치, 김장통에 담는 요령있나요? 8 | ^^;; | 2012/12/07 | 1,883 |
| 190972 | 아주대 전자공학과 경희대 한방학과 어디를 선호하시나요? 16 | 신입생 | 2012/12/07 | 4,198 |
| 190971 | 치욕스런 처형방식.. 5 | 가장 | 2012/12/07 | 2,261 |
| 190970 | 실시간 날씨 알려봐요! 1 | 흰눈펑펑 | 2012/12/07 | 830 |
| 190969 | 고단백 저탄수화물식 하니까 피부가 탄탄해져요. 2 | .. | 2012/12/07 | 3,202 |
| 190968 | 아이패드 미니 사용하시는 분 계세요? 5 | 미니 | 2012/12/07 | 1,216 |
| 190967 | 부산 사시는 님들 도움 부탁드려요~ 2 | .. | 2012/12/07 | 879 |
| 190966 | 한국의 기적적 발전이 배아픈 백인들에 기대어 6 | 신사대주의 | 2012/12/07 | 1,308 |
| 190965 | 중국 장가계.. 걷는게 많다던데.. 건강이 썩 좋치 않은 부모님.. 9 | .. | 2012/12/07 | 3,890 |