13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
| 번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183453 | 외롭고 우울한 사주 8 | 울적 | 2012/11/22 | 5,159 |
| 183452 | 지금 토론회 삼겹살집vs상가내 찻집 3 | rolrol.. | 2012/11/21 | 1,280 |
| 183451 | 변희재 실시간 트윗 21 | 토론감상 | 2012/11/21 | 3,408 |
| 183450 | 한전, 고흥 촛불화재에 '면피성 허위 해명' 물의 2 | 샬랄라 | 2012/11/21 | 894 |
| 183449 | 맨날 개나라당 어거지토론만 보다가 15 | 하하하 | 2012/11/21 | 1,886 |
| 183448 | 낼 아침에 무슨 국 끓여드세요? 27 | 댓글적선 | 2012/11/21 | 3,068 |
| 183447 | 안후보님 이제 스타팅하네요 5 | ㅇㄷㅇ | 2012/11/21 | 1,780 |
| 183446 | 6살딸램...대추넣고 끓인물 먹여도 괜찮나요?? 2 | 택이처 | 2012/11/21 | 1,295 |
| 183445 | 아 젠장 5 | *_* | 2012/11/21 | 1,162 |
| 183444 | 세상에.. 다나한 마스크시트팩 쓰지 마세요 2 | 내피부ㅠ | 2012/11/21 | 3,101 |
| 183443 | 이런 토론 첨 봐요.. 37 | 기다려곰 | 2012/11/21 | 13,247 |
| 183442 | 국민 후보 문재인의 토론 실력이야 이미 검증된 거죠 4 | 경선 통과 | 2012/11/21 | 1,709 |
| 183441 | 안철수 지지하던 남편이 지금까지 보더니 문재인이 낫다네요 9 | 바다 | 2012/11/21 | 2,804 |
| 183440 | 그냥 둘이 그러시네요.. 그렇쿤요.. 하고 끝날듯 --;; 6 | ㅇㅇㅇㅇ | 2012/11/21 | 1,521 |
| 183439 | 백화점에서 산 자켓 환불 될까요? 5 | lieyse.. | 2012/11/21 | 1,436 |
| 183438 | 싸우고 나서 감정처리요 1 | 싸움 | 2012/11/21 | 1,080 |
| 183437 | 그해 겨울은 따뜻했네..방금 읽었어요. 7 | 감동 | 2012/11/21 | 1,717 |
| 183436 | 영국) 영양제 추천 좀 부탁드려요. 4 | 선물은 | 2012/11/21 | 1,725 |
| 183435 | 면생리대 애물단지..ㅜㅜ 5 | 음 | 2012/11/21 | 7,418 |
| 183434 | 흐미 문재인 안철수 나란히 보니까! 31 | 놀라워 | 2012/11/21 | 6,062 |
| 183433 | 참 쓸데없는 이야기 길게 지루하게도 하네요.. 10 | 저게뭔가요?.. | 2012/11/21 | 2,076 |
| 183432 | 노예계약 풀리고 LTE 고민중 | 주부 | 2012/11/21 | 849 |
| 183431 | 안철수씨는 왜 정치에 나온 걸까요... 17 | 슬프다 | 2012/11/21 | 2,758 |
| 183430 | 제가 그렇게 빡빡하고 숨통 조이는 엄마인가요? 봐주세요... 9 | 아... | 2012/11/21 | 4,300 |
| 183429 | 이런알바 어떤가요? (1주일에 두번 2만원) 8 | ㅠㅠ | 2012/11/21 | 1,249 |