13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
---|---|---|---|---|
11553 | 거실에 쇼파없이 지내시는분...조언좀 해주세요 13 | 거실 | 2011/09/09 | 5,799 |
11552 | 아파트에 있는 변기솔을... 2 | ... | 2011/09/09 | 1,985 |
11551 | 조카가 연상하고 결혼 한다는데 ㅋㅋㅋ 난 아직 애인도 없을 뿐이.. 4 | 아..진짜 | 2011/09/09 | 2,163 |
11550 | 추석선물 뭐가좋을까요/? | 아마도 | 2011/09/09 | 822 |
11549 | 초들급식 식단보니 19 | .. | 2011/09/09 | 2,388 |
11548 | 실비보험 문의요^^ 5 | 강캔디 | 2011/09/09 | 998 |
11547 | 코가 심하게 막히는데요,천일염끓인물로 소독중인데요 6 | 하루에 몇번.. | 2011/09/09 | 1,447 |
11546 | 맹장염 일지 걱정되요, 6 | .. | 2011/09/09 | 1,788 |
11545 | 과외선생님에게 선물해야하나요? 11 | 세상살이 | 2011/09/09 | 3,105 |
11544 | 민감한 박근혜? [조선일보]가 더 이상해요 | 샬랄라 | 2011/09/09 | 1,162 |
11543 | 나도 가수다 하는 '웃고또웃고' 보시나요? 6 | 쭈앤찌 | 2011/09/09 | 1,170 |
11542 | 숙직인 신랑 도시락메뉴 추천 부탁드려요 11 | 숙직날 | 2011/09/09 | 1,560 |
11541 | 자.게. 예전글들 다시 살려주시나요? 1 | ^^ | 2011/09/09 | 1,035 |
11540 | 기침이 지나치게 안떨어질때 멀 먹으면 좋나요?ㅠ 5 | 알려주세요 .. | 2011/09/09 | 2,123 |
11539 | 강아지 오줌 냄새가 밴 마루 34 | 어쩔거야 | 2011/09/09 | 21,590 |
11538 | 훈훈한 박원순의 신발....그리고 구멍난 양말 6 | 지나가다 | 2011/09/09 | 1,846 |
11537 | 법조계 계신분께 여쭙니다. 1 | 이팝나무 | 2011/09/09 | 1,108 |
11536 | 그냥 주절주절.. | 제 이야기입.. | 2011/09/09 | 917 |
11535 | 정말 손하나 까딱 안하는 시댁남자들... 9 | ,, | 2011/09/09 | 2,517 |
11534 | 이제 30대중반을 향하는데 흰머리가 갑자기 많아졌어요...ㅠ_ㅠ.. 9 | 슬퍼 | 2011/09/09 | 5,736 |
11533 | 한숨 나읍니다 증말 1 | "....... | 2011/09/09 | 1,072 |
11532 | 나는 꼼수다! 4 | 캔디 | 2011/09/09 | 1,754 |
11531 | 동태전 재료 냉동실에 넣어서 보관해야 하나요? 3 | 동태전 | 2011/09/09 | 1,730 |
11530 | 안철수 아버지 “50 넘긴 아들, 내가 대선 출마 말린다고 될 .. 11 | 호박덩쿨 | 2011/09/09 | 2,832 |
11529 | 아버지 생신상 메뉴, 제발 좀 봐주세요~~~ 10 | 총체적 난국.. | 2011/09/09 | 1,623 |