13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
| 번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11997 | 저만 연락하게 되는 친구는 가까운 친구 아니죠? 10 | 친구사이 | 2011/08/30 | 4,595 |
| 11996 | 손잡이와 뚜껑손잡이가 스텐으로만 된거 뜨거울까요? 6 | 냄비 | 2011/08/30 | 1,828 |
| 11995 | 이 밤에 잠도 못자고 택배아저씨 기다려요...ㅠㅠ 2 | 빨리와여 | 2011/08/30 | 1,884 |
| 11994 | ‘人生無常’ 오세훈…“전세난에 갈곳도 없고…” 13 | 세우실 | 2011/08/30 | 2,949 |
| 11993 | 여인의 향기...이거 참... 26 | 아놔 | 2011/08/30 | 9,909 |
| 11992 | 시어머니를 마음으로부터 용서하신 분 있으신가요. 10 | 휴.. 또 .. | 2011/08/30 | 4,817 |
| 11991 | 야생화자수 모시가리개 1 | 자수여 | 2011/08/30 | 4,471 |
| 11990 | 초등학생이 세계지리를 배울 수 있는 기관이 있나요? 1 | 느리게 | 2011/08/30 | 1,602 |
| 11989 | 6살 딸아이 등에 대상포진이 생긴거 같아요 9 | 대상포진 | 2011/08/30 | 4,361 |
| 11988 | 스덴 후라이팬 사용법에 대해서 알고 싶어요? 5 | 알려 주세요.. | 2011/08/30 | 4,354 |
| 11987 | 향신료 이름좀 알려주세요. 굽신굽신 8 | 먹순 | 2011/08/30 | 2,865 |
| 11986 | 양도 소득세 5 | 웃자 | 2011/08/30 | 2,480 |
| 11985 | 건강식품이요.. | 000 | 2011/08/30 | 1,573 |
| 11984 | 이화장품 임산부가 써도 될까요? 성분 기재해두었어요.. 2 | 세라마이드 .. | 2011/08/30 | 2,618 |
| 11983 | 이불압축팩 효과 좋나요? 10 | ... | 2011/08/30 | 8,886 |
| 11982 | 식당에 가보니에 번개 공고 있네요. 11 | 전달 | 2011/08/30 | 2,965 |
| 11981 | 곽노현은 빨리 사퇴해야 한다고 봐요.. . 12 | 곽노현은 빨.. | 2011/08/30 | 2,571 |
| 11980 | 옆에 양면팬 사신 분 후기 좀 부탁드릴게요 3 | 휴우 | 2011/08/30 | 2,191 |
| 11979 | 4학년 아이 담임 선생님 때문에 엉엉 슬피 울면서 왔어요~ 1 | 안드로메다 | 2011/08/30 | 3,052 |
| 11978 | 신촌쪽에 부대찌개집.... | 은새엄마 | 2011/08/30 | 1,687 |
| 11977 | 비엔나소시지 애들입맛으로 맛있게 어떻게 볶아요? 4 | 비엔나 | 2011/08/30 | 2,533 |
| 11976 | 언니가 학원을 하는데, 점심을 제대로 못 챙겨 먹어요... 30 | 여쭤요..... | 2011/08/30 | 5,703 |
| 11975 | 그릴팬 지름신 물리쳐주세요ㅠ 5 | 그릴팬 | 2011/08/30 | 2,703 |
| 11974 | 헤어매니큐어 집에서 하시는분 그럭저럭 잘되나요? 1 | 궁금해요.... | 2011/08/30 | 2,730 |
| 11973 | 화상영어 추천 부탁드립니다~ | 이현주 | 2011/08/30 | 1,542 |