13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
---|---|---|---|---|
9542 | 아이허브에서 자기 이메일인지 알아보나요? | ,,, | 2011/08/27 | 1,303 |
9541 | 개편되고 82 들오기 넘 힘드네요 1 | ㅠㅠ | 2011/08/27 | 1,323 |
9540 | 중요한 영어편지를 쓰고 있는데 도와주세요... 4 | 도움이필요해.. | 2011/08/27 | 1,206 |
9539 | 팬티라인 푹패인면팬티 없을까요 7 | 커피 | 2011/08/27 | 2,577 |
9538 | 1부 대형교회 목사들 돈쓰는 내역, 10 | ㅇ | 2011/08/27 | 2,400 |
9537 | 아이 영어 학원땜에 머리에서 쥐가나요..ㅠ.ㅠ 10 | 어찌 할까요.. | 2011/08/27 | 4,882 |
9536 | 곽노현 뇌물의혹 관련 검찰수사에 부쳐.. 8 | WWE존시나.. | 2011/08/27 | 1,784 |
9535 | 절도범을 알고있는데 어떻게 해야하는건지요. 1 | cctv | 2011/08/27 | 1,678 |
9534 | 치통으로 기절할뻔했습니다... 1 | 환자 | 2011/08/27 | 2,970 |
9533 | 방송작가나 작가가 되려면 어떤 과정을 거쳐야할까요? 14 | 용기내서시작.. | 2011/08/27 | 10,504 |
9532 | ... 13 | ... | 2011/08/27 | 2,561 |
9531 | 추석 ktx 동반석 예매하신분...... 2 | ... | 2011/08/27 | 1,937 |
9530 | " 아빠에게 뽀뽀해줬다고해서 내가 아빠를 사랑한다는 건 아니야".. 4 | 초5딸 | 2011/08/27 | 2,405 |
9529 | 침대 메트리스 커버 어떤게 나을까요? 1 | 메트리스 | 2011/08/27 | 3,222 |
9528 | 살과의 전쟁 정말 스트레스네요...ㅠㅠ 5 | 스트레스 | 2011/08/27 | 2,715 |
9527 | 네스프레소 캡슐..현대백화점 어느 매장에... 4 | 질문이요 | 2011/08/27 | 2,472 |
9526 | 오작교 형제들 저 집안 사람들 왜 이렇게 뻔뻔하죠? 4 | 어이구 | 2011/08/27 | 2,690 |
9525 | 중2 아들이 대상포진에 걸렸어요 4 | 칵테일 | 2011/08/27 | 2,783 |
9524 | 17사단에 관해 아시는 분 제 답답함을 풀어주세요~ 12 | 현이이모 | 2011/08/27 | 3,356 |
9523 | 산모가 먹기 좋은 간식 추천해주세요. 6 | ㅇ | 2011/08/27 | 2,505 |
9522 | 피아노를 그만둬도 될까요? 8 | 피아노 | 2011/08/27 | 2,322 |
9521 | 리쌍의 티비를 껐네..가사를 요약하자면.. 15 | ㅋㅋㅋ | 2011/08/27 | 6,631 |
9520 | 히트레시피 열무김치.. 1 | 네르하 | 2011/08/27 | 1,976 |
9519 | 일본 제사도 한국 제사와 똑같나요?? 26 | 순동씨 | 2011/08/27 | 13,598 |
9518 | 전세입자가 9월말일로 나가는데 제가 체크해야할게 뭐가 있나요? 1 | 이사예정 | 2011/08/27 | 1,337 |