13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
13만원일당시에도 곧 내릴거다, 사는 가격 파는 가격 생각하면 투자로서 실효없다하면서
못 샀는데 어쩌나 해서요
As anticipated, gold is getting whacked. But what kind of whack is it?
To speculators on the wrong side of the trade, it was catastrophic. But was it serious? Maybe. Maybe not.
We’ve already given you our big prediction on gold. No point in saying anymore.
The bull market in gold began at the end of the ’90s. It will keep going until the price of gold intersects the price of the Dow. Currently, the Dow is over 10,000...and going up. Yesterday, it rose 143 points.
Gold, meanwhile, is going down. December contracts lost $104 yesterday. At one point, the spot price was down $150. It now costs less than $1,800 to buy an ounce of the stuff.
So, there’s still a WIDE gap between the Dow and gold, and it’s getting wider. Will it ever close? Who knows? But that’s our bet. And if we’re even close we’ll call it a success.
Because what it tells us is that the movements in gold and in stocks are long and big. And if you want to make real money, you focus on these big movements, not in the day to day price frenzy.
The way we see it, the time to get into stocks was in August 1982. Or anytime in the ’80s. Stocks went up for years...until the Dow finally peaked in January 2000. It had gained more than 1,000% — a 10 bagger, as investors like to say.
But then what? Then, forget stocks. January 2000 was the time to get into gold. There was a bust in the stock market in the early ’00s...followed by intervention from the feds...which led to a huge bubble. That bubble blew up in ’08-’09...sawing the Dow almost in half. Since then, another more massive meddling by the feds has moved the Dow back up. But to where? Around the same place it cracked 11 years ago.
In other words, for all the sturm and drang in the stock market over the last 11 years, investors have made nothing. Not even nothing. Less than nothing. A barrel of oil was $25 in 2000. Now, it’s over $80. More than 3 times as much. Prices have gone up for everything...while the stock market investor has not a penny more than he had when Bill Clinton left the White House.
The gold buyer, on the other hand, has 5 times as much money — even after yesterday’s big whack.
He who laughs last laughs best.
Yesterday, stock market investors got to laugh at the gold bugs. It’s time they had a chuckle. They’ve waited years for it. And our guess is that they’ll have plenty more laughs in the months...and years...ahead.
Because this is no place for a gold bug. Not really. We are fastened to a whole herd of dying animals — the credit expansion...the housing decline...Keynesian economic theory...the dollar-based monetary system...the social welfare political model...the bankrupt empire...the declining marginal utility of military force, debt and oil...and all those dying generations themselves. And we could probably think of more! All of them, in their dotage, will drag down prices...including, perhaps, even the price of gold.
We will have to wait for these wretched things to die. Then, when they are out of their misery and out of the way...or brushed aside by a desperate Fed...the next stage of gold’s bull market can begin.
저는 그냥 카피만 했구요.
영어가 넘 어려워용~
저 긴영어를 해석할줄아는사람이 몇이나 된다고...본인이 읽고있는거라고 달랑 영어만 올리는 분...자랑하고싶으신건지 의도를 모르겠네요.
지금은 금에 투자할 때가 아니라는 내용인 듯....
현 상황은 결국 금의 가격조차 끌어내리고 말 거라는.
그냥 하나의 의견인 듯하니 참고는 하되 너무 믿지는 마세요.
제가 보기엔 그닥 신뢰가 갈 만하거나 논리적인 글은 아닌 것 같아요.
번호 | 제목 | 작성자 | 날짜 | 조회 |
---|---|---|---|---|
12070 | 정말 어찌해야할지 모르겠어요 13 | ... | 2011/09/06 | 2,588 |
12069 | 시댁 쇼크라는 글들 정말 부담스럽네요 6 | 미투 | 2011/09/06 | 2,501 |
12068 | 이 문장들의 차이가 정확히 뭔가요? 1 | 궁금~ | 2011/09/06 | 1,079 |
12067 | 강남역근처 피부과,,, 토닝 얼마인가요,,?? | @@ | 2011/09/06 | 1,804 |
12066 | 이니스프리 공병 천원이죠? | ,,, | 2011/09/06 | 1,415 |
12065 | 201년 제2회 성북아트마켓이 열립니다. 1 | 무니무니 | 2011/09/06 | 1,054 |
12064 | 안철수 표가 박원순에게 얼마정도 갈까요? 4 | 운덩어리 | 2011/09/06 | 1,497 |
12063 | 내일 나는꼼수다 게스트 박경철 원장 9 | 게스트 | 2011/09/06 | 2,875 |
12062 | 나가사끼면에서 백합 맛이 진하게 나네요 6 | 좀 전 시식.. | 2011/09/06 | 2,297 |
12061 | 맛없는 된장 구제해주세요 ㅠㅠ 9 | 야옹 | 2011/09/06 | 10,246 |
12060 | 가락시장가면 좀 저렴하고 과일도 좋은가요,,?? 8 | ,,, | 2011/09/06 | 2,949 |
12059 | 아들이 입대했다. 14 | // | 2011/09/06 | 2,312 |
12058 | 여중생아이의 교우관계 힘드네요. 8 | 속상한 엄마.. | 2011/09/06 | 3,635 |
12057 | 이사 갈 집 청소 어떻게 해야 할까요 2 | ... | 2011/09/06 | 1,532 |
12056 | 살다가 이런일이^^ 6 | 고등어 | 2011/09/06 | 2,250 |
12055 | 서른살.; 참 애매한 나이인가요? 9 | 반짝반짝 | 2011/09/06 | 2,678 |
12054 | 코스코에파는 검은콩 미숫가루 어떤가요? 1 | 살빼자^^ | 2011/09/06 | 1,560 |
12053 | 댁의 자녀들도 삼선슬리퍼 애용합니까? 34 | 음... | 2011/09/06 | 3,478 |
12052 | 알루미늄휠 인지 아닌지 어캐 알까요? 자동차 바퀴요... 2 | ,,, | 2011/09/06 | 1,257 |
12051 | 해군기지가 건설될 강정마을 앞바다 23 | 참맛 | 2011/09/06 | 2,630 |
12050 | 운동장 트랙에서 자전거 타는거 아니지요? 9 | 운동 | 2011/09/06 | 2,937 |
12049 | 일산에 그린셀 가능한 피부과가 있나요 1 | 기미사라져라.. | 2011/09/06 | 1,605 |
12048 | 같이 있는데 혼자인 느낌 아시나요? 10 | 슬퍼요 | 2011/09/06 | 2,823 |
12047 | 박원순이 또 한명숙에게 양보하면.. 9 | .. | 2011/09/06 | 2,655 |
12046 | 어느 정도 터울지는데도 많이 싸우네요 11 | 초록가득 | 2011/09/06 | 1,866 |